For decades, the idea of “buy and hold” has been a cornerstone of investing. The logic is simple: invest in quality assets, stay patient through market ups and downs, and over time the returns will follow. But as people move into retirement, the rules can start to change.
In “Is it bye-bye to buy and hold for retirement income?”, money expert Liz Koh explores whether this traditional investment mindset still works once you are no longer accumulating wealth but instead relying on it for income. When regular withdrawals become part of the picture, market volatility and timing can have a bigger impact on long-term outcomes. Liz looks at why retirement investing may require a different approach, one that focuses not only on growth but also on generating reliable income that can support you through the years ahead.
You can read the original article here: Is it bye-bye to buy-and-hold for retirement income?.
Or you can read the article published in full below and tell us what you think in the comments section.
The property market in New Zealand has experienced some unusual patterns in price changes over the last eight years.
The post-COVID boom saw prices surge ahead by about 42% between 2019 and 2022. They then fell by up to 30% in many areas, landing slightly ahead of pre-COVID prices. This was followed by a period of stagnant prices until the present time. These changes have been unsettling for property investors who have typically relied on a long-term trend of 5-7% annual property price increases, with low volatility.
Both groups of investors have struggled to achieve their goals in recent years after what has recently been described by Paul Conway, the Reserve Bank’s chief economist, as ‘a structural change to the property market’.
Noted economist Tony Alexander, who specialises in the property sector, has weighed in on the idea of a structural change by listing ‘16 reasons why it’s all over for mum-and-dad property investors’ in a recent article. These reasons include bank lending restrictions, tax changes for property investors, higher costs of owning a property (rates, insurance, maintenance and Healthy Homes requirements), tenancy laws swinging more in favour of tenants, greater awareness of other forms of investing (such as KiwiSaver), reduced expectations of property price growth and fears around the introduction of capital gains tax.
Financial journalist Bernard Hickey has previously described the New Zealand economy as “a housing market with bits tacked on”. That’s because house prices have a significant effect on people’s confidence and desire to spend. This is the so-called ‘wealth effect’ – when house prices rise sharply, people feel wealthier, spend more and borrow more. In doing so, they stimulate the economy, contributing to higher inflation. Of course, the opposite is also true when house prices fall.
Proponents of a capital gains tax have long argued that property has had an unfair advantage over other forms of investment and that a capital gains tax would level the playing field.
Pulling all this together, it would seem that investment portfolios will be much less reliant on directly held investment property in future, and that is probably a good thing, not only for investors but also for those wishing to get a foot on the property ladder.
The combination of low property price growth, lower rent increases and higher property costs now make rental property an unattractive source of retirement income. Gone are the days when you could rely on income from one or two rental properties to top up NZ Superannuation. There just isn’t a high enough net return when compared to alternative investments.
There are other disadvantages of owning property in retirement too. Maintenance costs, such as painting, roofing, re-carpeting and plumbing, can be large, unexpected amounts which have to be funded from savings. And it’s difficult to access the wealth tied up in the property unless it is sold. On top of this are the hassles of being a landlord, which can take away from the enjoyment of retirement.
It seems that directly held investment property has had its day.
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